[SMMS Weekly Review] Ternary and Pure Cobalt Black Mass Prices in the Disassembly Recycling Market Continued to Rise This Week, 2025.9.22-2025.9.25

Published: Sep 25, 2025 16:41
This week, the prices of salt products such as cobalt sulphate and nickel sulphate continued to rise. As a result, the nickel and cobalt payable indicators for ternary and LCO black mass remained basically flat, and the lithium payable indicator also stayed flat. The prices per % lithium for LFP black mass remained stable this week; for example, the current price of LFP pole piece black mass is 2650-28000 yuan/mtu. For ternary black mass: the current nickel and cobalt payable indicator for ternary pole piece black mass is 73.5-75.5%, up 0.5% WoW, while the lithium payable indicator is 69-72%, also up about 1% WoW. The main reason on the profit side is that purchasing LFP black mass externally to produce lithium carbonate continues to incur losses, with a profit margin of -5% to 6%. Apart from a few new LFP hydrometallurgy recycling plants that started production this year, most LFP recycling enterprises have production lines capable of producing lithium carbonate from other raw materials. Therefore, even if the price of lithium carbonate improves, most enterprises choose to stop purchasing and halt production when facing losses. The situation in the ternary hydrometallurgy sector is similar, with profits hovering around 1-3%, while the LCO hydrometallurgy sector performs slightly better, with profits around 3%. On the supply side, after the increase in nickel, cobalt, and lithium prices, upstream recycling enterprises quickly raised the prices of LCO batteries, LFP batteries, and pole pieces, and black mass prices also increased to some extent. However, on the demand side, due to the recent increase in lithium carbonate prices being linked to factors such as Sino-US trade and coking coal, most enterprises are still observing the market under the condition of losses, and most LFP hydrometallurgy plants maintain B-end toll processing.

SMM September 25:

Prices of salt products such as cobalt sulphate and nickel sulphate continued to rise this week, resulting in basically flat nickel and cobalt payable indicators for ternary and LCO black mass, while the lithium payable indicator also remained basically flat. The prices per % lithium for LFP black mass held steady this week; for example, LFP pole piece black mass currently trades at 26,500-28,000 yuan/mtu. Taking ternary black mass as an example: the nickel and cobalt payable indicator for ternary pole piece black mass currently stands at 73.5-75.5%, up 0.5% WoW, while the lithium payable indicator ranges from 69-72%, also up about 1% WoW. On the profit side, externally purchased LFP black mass for lithium carbonate production continued to incur losses, with profit margins between -5% and -6%. Apart from several newly commissioned LFP battery hydrometallurgy recycling plants this year, most LFP recycling enterprises have production lines that use other raw materials to produce lithium carbonate. Therefore, even with some improvement in lithium carbonate prices, most enterprises chose to halt purchasing and production when facing losses. The situation is similar for ternary hydrometallurgy, with profits hovering around 1-3%, while LCO hydrometallurgy performed slightly better than LFP and ternary enterprises, at around 3%. Supply side, following the price increases of nickel, cobalt, and lithium, upstream recycling enterprises quickly raised prices for batteries and pole pieces such as LCO batteries and LFP batteries, with black mass prices also increasing to some extent. Demand side, as this round of lithium carbonate price increases is linked to factors such as China-US trade and coking coal, most enterprises remained cautious amid losses, with many LFP battery hydrometallurgy recycling plants maintaining B-end toll processing.

SMM New Energy Research Team

Cong Wang 021-51666838

Rui Ma 021-51595780

Disheng Feng 021-51666714

Yanlin Lü 021-20707875

Zhicheng Zhou 021-51666711

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

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[SMMS Weekly Review] Ternary and Pure Cobalt Black Mass Prices in the Disassembly Recycling Market Continued to Rise This Week, 2025.9.22-2025.9.25 - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)